Plus Minus Jokowi-Ma’ruf Amin vs Prabowo-Sandiaga Uno

Jokowi-Ma’ruf Amin serta Prabowo Subianto-Sandiaga Uno sudah mengumumkan diri menjadi calon presiden serta calon wakil presiden. Apa sih plus minus dari ke-2 pasangan ini?

Plus Minus Jokowi-Ma’ruf Amin vs Prabowo-Sandiaga Uno

Plus Minus Prabowo-Sandiaga Uno

Pengamat Politik CSIS Arya Fernandes menilai pasangan Prabowo-Sandiaga memiliki keuntungan. Sandiaga dinilai elite politik serta generasi baru dari kelompok entrepreneur.

” Plusnya saya duga, Sandi membawa satu pembaruan politik serta formasi pasangan calon ini. Dia (Sandiaga) membawa generasi baru, elite politik Indonesia dari kelompok entrepreneur profesional yang pilih masuk politik praktis, Wakil gubernur DKI, ” kata Arya waktu berbicang dengan detikcom, Jumat (10/8/2018).
Diluar itu, Arya menyebutkan Sandiaga gampang menyesuaikan dengan pemilih milenial. Sandiaga juga dinilai gampang mengerti ciri-ciri pemilih pemula.

” Lalu karena mempunyai elite politik yang baru, dia gampang menyesuaikan dengan pergantian politik yang berlangsung contoh meningkatnya pemilih milenial. Jadi, karena dia lahir dari generasi baru, ia akan gampang menyesuaikan dengan pemilih milenial. Lalu dia juga mengerti ciri-ciri pemilih muda, ” jelas Arya.

Selanjutnya, ia menilai Prabowo akan merubah cerita kampanye tanpa menyinggung keagamaan. Karena, Jokowi memiliki pasangan tokoh agama KH Ma’ruf Amin.
Diluar itu, tiga konsolidasi simpatisan Prabowo-Sandiaga memiliki pengalaman di Pemilihan kepala daerah serentak. Elite politik mereka di daerah begitu solid.

” Support partai politik 3 ini mempunyai pengalaman dalam konsolidasi tingkat lokal contoh Jawa Barat, Kalimantan serta yang lain. Mereka miliki pengalaman dalam konsolidasi elite tingkat lokal telah miliki pengalaman lakukan kampanye, mereka soliditas tinggi, ” jelas Arya.

Minus Prabowo-Sandiaga, Arya menilainya pasangan ini mesti dapat merubah cerita kampanye. Termasuk juga penamaan konsolidasi parpol yang tidak memakai keagamaan.

Plus Minus Jokowi-Ma’ruf Amin

” Jika cerita masih tetap mengenai agama contohnya diawali penamaan konsolidasi, jika pakai cerita agama akan tidak efisien. Karena Jokowi cerita agama lebih kuat, Pak Ma’ruf keagamaan lebih kuat, ” jelas Arya.
Pada pasangan Jokowi-Ma’ruf, Arya menilainya ada kecemasan dalam rumor keagamaan. Hingga Jokowi pilih Ma’ruf dalam Pemilihan presiden 2019.

” Sebelum waktu penetapan ini saya lihat ada kecemasan Pak Jokowi berkaitan rumor keagamaan. Jadi Jokowi cemas rumor politik jati diri akan menggerus suaranya, kecemasan itu lalu ditranslate dengan pertemuan elite ormas Islam serta roadshow pesantren, ” kata Arya.

Baca juga : Harta Kekayaan Jokowi dan Prabowo Jelang Pilpres 2019

Di lain sisi, Arya menyampaikan Jokowi memiliki kecemasan politik jati diri semenjak tindakan 212. Ada KH Ma’ruf Amin, karena itu Jokowi tidak gampang terserang dengan rumor negatif atau politik jati diri.

” Jokowi semenjak tindakan 212 cemas ada politik jati diri karena itu Pak Ma’ruf tidak hanya karena ada usaha Jokowi akomodasi kebutuhan partai politik, ada partai politik tidak setuju Mahfud tetapi langkah Jokowi supaya rumor negatif berbasiskan politik jati diri tidak ampuh dapat menyerang Jokowi, ” papar Arya.

Minus pada Jokowi-Ma’ruf, Arya menuturkan ada rintangan baru pasangan ini bila Prabowo tidak memakai cerita agama. Jika Prabowo merubah cerita kampanye, karena itu Ketum MUI itu tidak dilihat pemilih.

” Jika Prabowo mengubah cerita kampanye, pasti tempat Ma’ruf kurang dilihat pemilih, ” kata Arya.
Diluar itu, Arya mengatakan parpol Jokowi-Ma’ruf semakin lebih konsentrasi pemilu legislatif dibanding Pemilihan presiden. Sedang parpol pengusung Prabowo-Sandiaga akan konsentrasi Pemilihan presiden karena mesin partainya telah solid.

” Diluar itu merupakan mesin partai politik karena ini diusung banyak partai politik contoh di PDIP, partai politik akan konsentrasi pemilu legislatif. Dari bagian Prabowo akan solid memenangi Pemilihan presiden karena tempat elektoral masih tetap jauh serta mesin partai politik akan solid, ” papar dia.


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